AIM:XPD

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Xpediator Plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides freight management services in the United Kingdom and Europe. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

Share Price & News

How has Xpediator's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: XPD is more volatile than 75% of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 10% a week.

Volatility Over Time: XPD's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-1.0%

XPD

-1.4%

GB Logistics

1.2%

GB Market


1 Year Return

105.9%

XPD

62.3%

GB Logistics

4.6%

GB Market

Return vs Industry: XPD exceeded the UK Logistics industry which returned 62.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: XPD exceeded the UK Market which returned 4.6% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

XPDIndustryMarket
7 Day-1.0%-1.4%1.2%
30 Day4.9%0.2%0.7%
90 Day47.0%8.9%2.6%
1 Year109.4%105.9%65.3%62.3%10.6%4.6%
3 Year15.2%8.5%32.5%21.3%8.6%-4.5%
5 Yearn/a103.4%75.0%39.5%12.6%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Xpediator's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Xpediator undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: XPD (£0.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XPD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: XPD is poor value based on its PE Ratio (132.2x) compared to the XE Logistics industry average (24.8x).

PE vs Market: XPD is poor value based on its PE Ratio (132.2x) compared to the UK market (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: XPD is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.3x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: XPD is good value based on its PB Ratio (2.4x) compared to the XE Logistics industry average (2.7x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Xpediator forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

99.2%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: XPD's forecast earnings growth (99.2% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: XPD's earnings (99.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (22.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: XPD's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (6.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: XPD's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if XPD's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Xpediator performed over the past 5 years?

-0.4%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: XPD has a large one-off loss of £828.0K impacting its June 30 2020 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: XPD's current net profit margins (0.2%) are lower than last year (1.4%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: XPD's earnings have declined by 0.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: XPD's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: XPD had negative earnings growth (-81.6%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Logistics industry average (-22.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: XPD's Return on Equity (4.7%) is considered low.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Xpediator's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: XPD's short term assets (£68.4M) exceed its short term liabilities (£68.2M).

Long Term Liabilities: XPD's short term assets (£68.4M) exceed its long term liabilities (£25.4M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: XPD's debt to equity ratio (24.7%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: XPD's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 122.8% to 24.7% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: XPD's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (192.4%).

Interest Coverage: XPD's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (3.7x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Xpediator current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

1.86%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: XPD's dividend (1.86%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (1.49%).

High Dividend: XPD's dividend (1.86%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (4.51%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: XPD has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: XPD's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 3 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its high payout ratio (122.6%), XPD's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be covered by earnings.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.8yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Rob Ross (36 yo)

0.42

Tenure

Mr. Robert William Gilbert Ross, also known as Rob, serves as Group Chief Executive Officer of Xpediator Plc since October 01, 2020 and serves as its Executive Director since February 2, 2020. Mr. Ross ser...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Robert William Ross
Group CEO & Director0.42yrno datano data
Michael Williamson
Chief Financial Officerno datano datano data
Charlotte Bennett
Group People Director1.5yrsno datano data
Shaun Godfrey
Group COO of Freight Forwarding & Member of Operating Board2yrsno data16.16%
£ 11.1m
Andrea Antohi
Group COO of Affinity Transport Solutions & Member of Operating Board2yrsno datano data
Danor Ionescu
COO of Logistics & Member of Operating Board2yrsno data2.94%
£ 2.0m
Luke Croome
Chief Operating Officer of Fashion & Retail Division1.17yrsno datano data
Kenneth Mercieca
Company Secretaryno datano datano data

1.8yrs

Average Tenure

48yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: XPD's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Robert William Ross
Group CEO & Director0.42yrno datano data
Charles McGurin
Independent Non-Executive Director1.33yrsUK£7.50k0.046%
£ 31.7k
Michael Borrelli
Independent Non-Executive Chairman & Senior Independent Non-Executive Director4.17yrsUK£50.00k0.32%
£ 220.4k
Stephen Blyth
Founder & Non-Executive Deputy Chairman0.75yrUK£319.00k26.68%
£ 18.3m
Robert Riddleston
Independent Non-Executive Director2.67yrsUK£28.30k0.0015%
£ 1.0k
Wim Pauwels
Independent Non-Executive Director1.33yrsUK£5.00k0.15%
£ 101.0k

1.3yrs

Average Tenure

64yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: XPD's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Xpediator Plc's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Xpediator Plc
  • Ticker: XPD
  • Exchange: AIM
  • Founded: 1988
  • Industry: Air Freight and Logistics
  • Sector: Transportation
  • Market Cap: UK£68.692m
  • Shares outstanding: 141.63m
  • Website: https://xpediator.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Xpediator Plc
  • 700 Avenue West
  • Skyline 120 Great Notley
  • Braintree
  • Essex
  • CM77 7AA
  • United Kingdom

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
XPDAIM (London Stock Exchange AIM Market)YesNew Ordinary SharesGBGBPAug 2017

Biography

Xpediator Plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides freight management services in the United Kingdom and Europe. It operates in three segments: Freight Forwarding, Affinity, and Logistics & Warehousin...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/03/07 18:37
End of Day Share Price2021/03/05 00:00
Earnings2020/06/30
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.