LSE:POG

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

Petropavlovsk PLC operates as a gold exploration, development, and mining company in the Russian Far East.

Snowflake

Fundamentals

Good value with reasonable growth potential.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Petropavlovsk's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events


Market Performance


7 Day Return

0.1%

LSE:POG

-3.4%

GB Metals and Mining

-1.7%

GB Market


1 Year Return

48.8%

LSE:POG

1.9%

GB Metals and Mining

-5.7%

GB Market

POG outperformed the Metals and Mining industry which returned 1.9% over the past year.

POG outperformed the Market in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland which returned -5.7% over the past year.


Share holder returns

POGIndustryMarket
7 Day0.1%-3.4%-1.7%
30 Day2.4%-15.0%-4.8%
90 Day20.6%-8.9%-2.7%
1 Year48.8%48.8%10.5%1.9%-1.3%-5.7%
3 Year37.0%37.0%56.4%32.9%17.8%4.0%
5 Year-19.1%-71.0%26.1%3.8%26.9%0.2%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Petropavlovsk's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Petropavlovsk undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

>50%

Discount to future cash flow value


Intrinsic Value Based on Future Cash Flows

Petropavlovsk's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).

Petropavlovsk's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).


Price Based on Earnings

Petropavlovsk is overvalued based on earnings compared to the GB Metals and Mining industry average.

Petropavlovsk is overvalued based on earnings compared to the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland market.


Price Based on Expected Growth

Petropavlovsk is good value based on expected growth next year.


Price Based on Value of Assets

Petropavlovsk is good value based on assets compared to the GB Metals and Mining industry average.


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Petropavlovsk expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?

38.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Estimates


Future Annual Growth Analysis

Petropavlovsk's revenue is expected to grow by 9.5% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).

Petropavlovsk's earnings are expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.

Petropavlovsk's revenue growth is expected to exceed the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland market average.

Petropavlovsk's earnings growth is expected to exceed the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland market average.

Petropavlovsk's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 1.2%.


Earnings per Share Growth Estimates


Future Return on Equity

Petropavlovsk is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Petropavlovsk performed over the past 5 years?

54.3%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Petropavlovsk has delivered over 20% year on year earnings growth in the past 5 years.

Petropavlovsk's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the 5-year average.

Petropavlovsk's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the GB Metals and Mining industry average.


Return on Equity

Petropavlovsk has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).


Return on Assets

Petropavlovsk used its assets less efficiently than the GB Metals and Mining industry average last year based on Return on Assets.


Return on Capital Employed

Petropavlovsk has significantly improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Petropavlovsk's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Petropavlovsk is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.

Petropavlovsk's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Petropavlovsk's level of debt (98.8%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).

The level of debt compared to net worth has been reduced over the past 5 years (100.6% vs 98.8% today).

Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (36.6%, greater than 20% of total debt).

Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 4x coverage).


Balance Sheet

High level of physical assets or inventory.

Debt is not covered by short term assets, assets are 0.6x debt.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Petropavlovsk's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield and Payments Analysis

Unable to evaluate Petropavlovsk's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.

Unable to evaluate Petropavlovsk's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.

Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as Petropavlovsk has not reported any payouts.

Unable to verify if Petropavlovsk's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as Petropavlovsk has not reported any payouts.


Future Payout to Shareholders

No need to calculate the sustainability of Petropavlovsk's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of Petropavlovsk's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

1.3yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Pavel Maslovskiy (63yo)

1.2yrs

Tenure

US$977,428

Compensation

Dr. Pavel Alexeyevich Maslovskiy has been a Director and Chief Executive Officer of Petropavlovsk PLC since June 29, 2018. Dr. Maslovskiy is Co-Founder of Petropavlovsk plc and served as its Chief Executiv ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Pavel's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

Pavel's compensation has increased by more than 20% whilst company earnings have fallen more than 20% in the past year.


Management Age and Tenure

1.3yrs

Average Tenure

63yo

Average Age

The average tenure for the Petropavlovsk management team is less than 2 years, this suggests a new team.


Board Age and Tenure

1.2yrs

Average Tenure

53.5yo

Average Age

The average tenure for the Petropavlovsk board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.


Insider Trading

More shares have been bought than sold by Petropavlovsk individual insiders in the past 3 months, but not in substantial volumes.


Recent Insider Transactions

BuyUS$24,95026 Jun 19
Robert John Jenkins
EntityIndividual
Shares250,000
Max PriceUS$0.10
BuyUS$24,87526 Jun 19
Harry J. Kenyon-Slaney
EntityIndividual
Role
Lead Director
Senior Independent Director
Shares250,000
Max PriceUS$0.10

Ownership Breakdown


Management Team

  • Sergey Ermolenko (66yo)

    General Director of Management Company Petropavlovsk

    • Tenure: 1.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$495.40k
  • Peter Charles Percival Hambro (74yo)

    Senior Adviser to the Board

    • Tenure: 0.0yrs
    • Compensation: US$980.27k
  • Alexey Maslvoskiy

    Group Head of Business Development

    • Tenure: 13.1yrs
    • Compensation: US$157.79k
  • Pavel Maslovskiy (63yo)

    CEO & Director

    • Tenure: 1.2yrs
    • Compensation: US$977.43k
  • Nikolai Vlasov

    Group Chief Geologist

    • Tenure: 0.0yrs
  • Andrey Maruta (43yo)

    Consultant

    • Tenure: 1.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$414.01k
  • Patrick Pittaway

    Head of Investor Relations

    • Tenure: 0.0yrs
  • Dmitry Chekashkin

    Chief Operating Officer

    • Tenure: 6.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$100.00k
  • Anna-Karolina Subczynska-Samberger (41yo)

    Group Head of Legal Affairs

    • Tenure: 0.0yrs
    • Compensation: US$221.36k
  • Alexey Dubynin

    Chief Financial Officer

    • Tenure: 1.1yrs

Board Members

  • George Hambro (44yo)

    Non Executive Chairman of IRC

    • Tenure: 9.6yrs
    • Compensation: US$19.20k
  • Harry J. Kenyon-Slaney (58yo)

    Senior Independent Director

    • Tenure: 0.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$11.35k
  • Cory Kent (49yo)

    • Tenure: 1.4yrs
  • Damien Hackett

    Independent Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 0.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$15.87k
  • Roderic Michael Lyne (70yo)

    Non-Executive Chairman

    • Tenure: 1.2yrs
    • Compensation: US$75.58k
  • Michael Shelkov

    Deputy Chairman of Peter Hambro Mining

    • Tenure: 11.9yrs
  • James Cameron

    Independent Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 0.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$15.87k

Company Information

Petropavlovsk PLC's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Petropavlovsk PLC
  • Ticker: POG
  • Exchange: LSE
  • Founded: 1994
  • Industry: Gold
  • Sector: Materials
  • Market Cap: UK£331.021m
  • Shares outstanding: 3.31b
  • Website: https://www.petropavlovsk.net

Number of Employees


Location

  • Petropavlovsk PLC
  • 11 Grosvenor Place
  • Belgravia
  • London
  • Greater London
  • SW1X 7HH
  • United Kingdom

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
POGLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPApr 2002
PHZDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesOrdinary SharesDEEURApr 2002
POGLBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPApr 2002

Biography

Petropavlovsk PLC operates as a gold exploration, development, and mining company in the Russian Far East. The company’s principal mining assets include Pioneer, Albyn, Pokrovskiy, and Malomir located in t ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2019/08/18 20:41
End of Day Share Price2019/08/16 00:00
Earnings2018/12/31
Annual Earnings2018/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.