Did You Miss Craneware’s Whopping 356% Share Price Gain?

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Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. And we’ve seen some truly amazing gains over the years. Just think about the savvy investors who held Craneware plc (LON:CRW) shares for the last five years, while they gained 356%. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. We note the stock price is up 5.1% in the last seven days.

Check out our latest analysis for Craneware

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed, is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over half a decade, Craneware managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 35% per year, over the same period. So it’s fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That’s not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 59.79.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

AIM:CRW Past and Future Earnings, February 23rd 2019
AIM:CRW Past and Future Earnings, February 23rd 2019

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Craneware’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Craneware’s TSR for the last 5 years was 398%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It’s nice to see that Craneware shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 51% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That’s better than the annualised return of 38% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.