Stock Analysis

Should You Use British American Tobacco's (LON:BATS) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding British American Tobacco (LON:BATS).

We like the fact that British American Tobacco made a profit of UK£5.70b on its revenue of UK£25.9b, in the last year. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years, although its profit has slipped in the last twelve months.

Check out our latest analysis for British American Tobacco

LSE:BATS Income Statement April 18th 2020
LSE:BATS Income Statement April 18th 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on British American Tobacco's statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand British American Tobacco's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by UK£1.5b due to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect British American Tobacco to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On British American Tobacco's Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from British American Tobacco's earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that British American Tobacco's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing British American Tobacco at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for British American Tobacco and you'll want to know about them.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of British American Tobacco's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About LSE:BATS

British American Tobacco

Provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States.

Second-rate dividend payer with low risk.

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