AIM:GUS

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

Gusbourne PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, sells, and distributes English sparkling wine in the United Kingdom.

Rewards

Revenue is forecast to grow 41.45% per year

Risk Analysis

Earnings have declined by -10.3% per year over past 5 years

Has less than 1 year of cash runway

Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

+ 2 more risks


Snowflake Analysis

Mediocre balance sheet with limited growth.

Share Price & News

How has Gusbourne's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: GUS has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

0%

GUS

-1.5%

GB Beverage

-1.1%

GB Market


1 Year Return

9.0%

GUS

14.8%

GB Beverage

12.7%

GB Market

Return vs Industry: GUS underperformed the UK Beverage industry which returned 13.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GUS underperformed the UK Market which returned 12.7% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

GUSIndustryMarket
7 Day0%-1.5%-1.1%
30 Day-5.4%0.08%-0.2%
90 Day17.0%4.7%6.0%
1 Year9.0%9.0%18.0%14.8%18.6%12.7%
3 Year20.6%20.6%55.0%43.9%21.8%6.3%
5 Year21.5%21.5%95.2%70.7%42.5%9.6%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Gusbourne's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Gusbourne undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

2.52x

Price to Book (PB) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GUS's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GUS's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: GUS is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Beverage industry average.

PE vs Market: GUS is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GUS's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: GUS is good value based on its PB Ratio (2.5x) compared to the GB Beverage industry average (3.3x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Gusbourne forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

41.5%

Forecasted annual revenue growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if GUS's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (0.5%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if GUS's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the UK market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GUS's revenue (41.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GUS's revenue (41.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GUS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Gusbourne performed over the past 5 years?

-10.3%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: GUS is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: GUS is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GUS is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of -10.3% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare GUS's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: GUS is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Beverage industry (-8.4%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GUS has a negative Return on Equity (-15.17%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Gusbourne's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GUS's short term assets (£7.7M) exceed its short term liabilities (£2.0M).

Long Term Liabilities: GUS's short term assets (£7.7M) exceed its long term liabilities (£6.4M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GUS's debt to equity ratio (43.3%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: GUS's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 57.1% to 43.3% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet

Inventory Level: GUS has a high level of physical assets or inventory.

Debt Coverage by Assets: GUS's debt is covered by short term assets (assets are 1.3x debt).


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: GUS has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: GUS has less than a year of cash runway if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of -9.2% each year


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Gusbourne's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

companyn/amarketbottom25%1.8%markettop25%5.0%industryaverage2.1%forecastin3Yearsn/a

Current dividend yield vs market & industry

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate GUS's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate GUS's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GUS's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GUS's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of GUS's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of Gusbourne's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

4.5yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Charlie Holland (42yo)

3.3yrs

Tenure

UK£83,000

Compensation

Mr. Charles Edward Holland, also known as Charlie, BA, BSc., has been Chief Executive Officer and Chief Winemaker of Gusbourne PLC since October 26, 2016. Mr. Holland manages the day to day running of the  ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Charlie's total compensation ($USD107.93K) is below average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD326.78K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Charlie's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Board Age and Tenure

4.5yrs

Average Tenure

54.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: GUS's board of directors are considered experienced (4.5 years average tenure).


Insider Trading

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 22.8%.


Management Team

  • Ian Robinson (72yo)

    Secretary & Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 7.3yrs
  • Andrew Weeber

    Founder & Non-Executive Chairman

    • Tenure: 6.3yrs
  • Charlie Holland (42yo)

    CEO, Chief Winemaker & Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£83.00k
  • Jon Pollard (43yo)

    COO, Chief Vineyard Manager & Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£70.00k

Board Members

  • Ian Robinson (72yo)

    Secretary & Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 7.3yrs
  • Andrew Weeber

    Founder & Non-Executive Chairman

    • Tenure: 6.3yrs
  • Paul Bentham

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 6.3yrs
  • James Arbuthnot (66yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 4.5yrs
  • Matthew Clapp (40yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 4.5yrs
  • Mike Paul (70yo)

    Deputy Chairman

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
  • Charlie Holland (42yo)

    CEO, Chief Winemaker & Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£83.00k
  • Jon Pollard (43yo)

    COO, Chief Vineyard Manager & Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£70.00k

Company Information

Gusbourne PLC's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Gusbourne PLC
  • Ticker: GUS
  • Exchange: AIM
  • Founded: 2012
  • Industry: Distillers and Vintners
  • Sector: Food, Beverage & Tobacco
  • Market Cap: UK£36.718m
  • Shares outstanding: 46.48m
  • Website: https://www.gusbourneplc.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Gusbourne PLC
  • Kenardington Road
  • Appledore
  • Ashford
  • Kent
  • TN26 2BE
  • United Kingdom

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
GUSAIM (London Stock Exchange AIM Market)YesNew Ordinary SharesGBGBPOct 2012
SLLF.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesNew Ordinary SharesUSUSDOct 2012

Biography

Gusbourne PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, sells, and distributes English sparkling wine in the United Kingdom. It has approximately 231 acres of vineyards in Kent and West Sussex. The company was formerly known as Shellproof Plc and changed its name to Gusbourne PLC in September 2013. Gusbourne PLC was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Ashford, the United Kingdom. 


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/01/27 21:42
End of Day Share Price2020/01/27 00:00
Earnings2019/06/30
Annual Earnings2018/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.