Does Thalassa Holdings Limited (LON:THAL) Fall With The Market?

If you are a shareholder in Thalassa Holdings Limited’s (AIM:THAL), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of THAL. The first risk to consider is company-specific, which can be diversified away when you invest in other companies in the same industry as THAL, because it is rare that an entire industry collapses at once. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Not every stock is exposed to the same level of market risk. A widely-used metric to measure a stock’s market risk is beta, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

View our latest analysis for Thalassa Holdings

What is THAL’s market risk?

With a beta of 1.84, Thalassa Holdings is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. Based on this beta value, THAL can help magnify your portfolio return, especially if it is predominantly made up of low-beta stocks. If the market is going up, a higher exposure to the upside from a high-beta stock can push up your portfolio return.

AIM:THAL Income Statement May 10th 18
AIM:THAL Income Statement May 10th 18

How does THAL’s size and industry impact its risk?

THAL, with its market capitalisation of UK£16.50M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. Moreover, THAL’s industry, energy services, is considered to be cyclical, which means it is more volatile than the market over the economic cycle. Therefore, investors may expect high beta associated with small companies, as well as those operating in the energy services industry, relative to those more well-established firms in a more defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of THAL’s beta value discussed above. Fundamental factors can also drive the cyclicality of the stock, which we will take a look at next.

Can THAL’s asset-composition point to a higher beta?

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test THAL’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. THAL’s fixed assets to total assets ratio of higher than 30% shows that the company uses up a big chunk of its capital on assets that are hard to scale up or down in short notice. Thus, we can expect THAL to be more volatile in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a lower proportion of fixed assets on their books. This is consistent with is current beta value which also indicates high volatility.

What this means for you:

You may reap the gains of THAL’s returns in times of an economic boom. Though the business does have higher fixed cost than what is considered safe, during times of growth, consumer demand may be high enough to not warrant immediate concerns. However, during a downturn, a more defensive stock can cushion the impact of this risk. What I have not mentioned in my article here are important company-specific fundamentals such as Thalassa Holdings’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is THAL’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has THAL been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of THAL’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.