We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Duke Royalty Valuation

Is DUKE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

[object Object] Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DUKE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DUKE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DUKE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DUKE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
LIT Litigation Capital Management
23xn/aUK£84.4m
VCAP Vector Capital
8.8xn/aUK£21.9m
PLUS Plus500
5.3x-22.6%UK£1.7b
TIME Time Finance
13.4x47.8%UK£17.0m
DUKE Duke Royalty
6x8.0%UK£147.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DUKE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DUKE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a48.3%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DUKE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (9x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DUKE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DUKE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DUKE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DUKE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DUKE (£0.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£0.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DUKE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DUKE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.36
UK£0.51
+41.6%
4.0%UK£0.54UK£0.49n/a3
Nov ’23UK£0.32
UK£0.52
+65.1%
2.7%UK£0.54UK£0.51n/a3
Oct ’23UK£0.30
UK£0.52
+70.5%
2.7%UK£0.54UK£0.51n/a3
Sep ’23UK£0.30
UK£0.53
+76.7%
3.1%UK£0.55UK£0.51n/a3
Aug ’23UK£0.34
UK£0.53
+58.2%
3.1%UK£0.55UK£0.51n/a3
Jul ’23UK£0.34
UK£0.53
+53.6%
3.1%UK£0.55UK£0.51n/a3
Jun ’23UK£0.36
UK£0.53
+45.2%
3.1%UK£0.55UK£0.51n/a3
May ’23UK£0.41
UK£0.54
+30.1%
1.9%UK£0.55UK£0.53n/a2
Apr ’23UK£0.39
UK£0.54
+38.5%
1.9%UK£0.55UK£0.53n/a2
Mar ’23UK£0.39
UK£0.54
+38.5%
1.9%UK£0.55UK£0.53n/a2
Feb ’23UK£0.41
UK£0.53
+30.1%
3.1%UK£0.55UK£0.51n/a3
Jan ’23UK£0.43
UK£0.52
+21.6%
1.9%UK£0.53UK£0.51n/a2
Dec ’22UK£0.43
UK£0.52
+20.5%
1.0%UK£0.52UK£0.51UK£0.362
Nov ’22UK£0.42
UK£0.52
+22.6%
1.0%UK£0.52UK£0.51UK£0.322
Oct ’22UK£0.45
UK£0.52
+15.7%
1.0%UK£0.52UK£0.51UK£0.302
Sep ’22UK£0.47
UK£0.48
+2.8%
6.3%UK£0.51UK£0.45UK£0.302
Aug ’22UK£0.42
UK£0.48
+14.3%
6.3%UK£0.51UK£0.45UK£0.342
Jul ’22UK£0.40
UK£0.48
+21.5%
6.3%UK£0.51UK£0.45UK£0.342
Jun ’22UK£0.36
UK£0.48
+31.5%
6.3%UK£0.51UK£0.45UK£0.362
May ’22UK£0.36
UK£0.48
+33.3%
6.3%UK£0.51UK£0.45UK£0.412
Apr ’22UK£0.37
UK£0.47
+27.0%
8.5%UK£0.51UK£0.43UK£0.392
Mar ’22UK£0.33
UK£0.33
-0.6%
0%UK£0.33UK£0.33UK£0.391
Feb ’22UK£0.26
UK£0.33
+29.4%
0%UK£0.33UK£0.33UK£0.411
Jan ’22UK£0.30
UK£0.33
+8.2%
0%UK£0.33UK£0.33UK£0.431
Dec ’21UK£0.30
UK£0.33
+8.2%
0%UK£0.33UK£0.33UK£0.431

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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