Stock Analysis

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Cairn Homes' (LON:CRN) Returns On Capital

LSE:CRN
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So when we looked at Cairn Homes (LON:CRN) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cairn Homes is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = €103m ÷ (€1.0b - €93m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, Cairn Homes has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Consumer Durables industry average of 13%.

See our latest analysis for Cairn Homes

roce
LSE:CRN Return on Capital Employed July 7th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Cairn Homes' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Cairn Homes

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Consumer Durables market.
Opportunity
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow faster than the British market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the British market.

How Are Returns Trending?

Cairn Homes' ROCE growth is quite impressive. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 604% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

The Bottom Line On Cairn Homes' ROCE

To bring it all together, Cairn Homes has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 33% in the last five years. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Cairn Homes you'll probably want to know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.