LSE:GFS

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

G4S plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides security and related services in Africa, the Americas, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.

Snowflake

Fundamentals

Reasonable growth potential average dividend payer.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has G4S's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events


Market Performance


7 Day Return

6.5%

GFS

1.0%

GB Commercial Services

1.9%

GB Market


1 Year Return

-10.3%

GFS

15.5%

GB Commercial Services

2.4%

GB Market

Return vs Industry: GFS underperformed the UK Commercial Services industry which returned 15.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GFS underperformed the UK Market which returned 2.4% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

GFSIndustryMarket
7 Day6.5%1.0%1.9%
30 Day0.6%0.1%-1.1%
90 Day2.5%6.6%-1.8%
1 Year-5.8%-10.3%19.1%15.5%7.4%2.4%
3 Year-5.2%-15.9%19.3%8.5%18.2%3.7%
5 Year-5.5%-22.6%26.4%5.9%35.7%6.1%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is G4S's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is G4S undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

3.8%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Undervalued: GFS (£1.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.06)

Significantly Undervalued: GFS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: GFS is poor value based on its PE Ratio (80.6x) compared to the Commercial Services industry average (17.8x).

PE vs Market: GFS is poor value based on its PE Ratio (80.6x) compared to the UK market (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

Low PEG Ratio: GFS is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (3.1x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: GFS is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (5.2x) compared to the GB Commercial Services industry average (1.7x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is G4S forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?

25.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFS's forecast earnings growth (25.7% per year) is above the savings rate (1.2%).

Earnings vs Market: GFS's earnings (25.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GFS's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (3.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GFS's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

High Future ROE: GFS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (29.8%)


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has G4S performed over the past 5 years?

29.8%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GFS has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 29.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: GFS's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: GFS had negative earnings growth (-79.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Commercial Services industry average (22.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: GFS's Return on Equity (8.1%) is considered low.


Return on Assets

ROA vs Industry: GFS's Return on Assets is below or equal to the Commercial Services industry average last year.


Return on Capital Employed

ROCE Improving: GFS has improved its Return on Capital Employed over the past 3 years.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is G4S's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GFS's short term assets (£2.7B) exceeds its short term liabilities (£1.9B)

Long Term Liabilities: GFS's short term assets (2.7B) do not cover its long term liabilities (3.4B)


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GFS's debt to equity ratio (435.2%) is considered high

Reducing Debt: GFS's debt to equity ratio has increased from 253.5% to 435.2% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: GFS's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (9.5%).

Interest Coverage: GFS's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (4.6x coverage).


Balance Sheet

Inventory Level: GFS has a low level of unsold assets or inventory.

Debt Coverage by Assets: GFS's debt is not covered by short term assets (assets are 1x debt).


Next Steps

Dividend

What is G4S's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

4.90%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

company4.9%marketbottom25%2.0%markettop25%5.4%industryaverage2.7%forecastin3Years5.2%

Current dividend yield vs market & industry


Stability and Growth of Payments

Notable Dividend: GFS's dividend (4.9%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (2%).

High Dividend: GFS's dividend (4.9%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (5.42%).

Stable Dividend: GFS's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: GFS's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its high payout ratio (394.8%), GFS's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: GFS's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be covered by earnings (52.3% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of G4S's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

4.7yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Ashley Almanza (56yo)

6.3yrs

Tenure

UK£2,930,243

Compensation

Mr. Ashley Almanza has been the Chief Executive Officer of G4S Australia Holdings Pty. Ltd since June 1, 2013. Mr. Almanza has been the Group Chief Executive Officer of G4S plc since June 1, 2013. He has b ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs. Market: Ashley's total compensation ($USD3.76M) is above average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD2.30M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Ashley's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Management Age and Tenure

4.7yrs

Average Tenure

56yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: GFS's management team is considered experienced (4.7 years average tenure).


Board Age and Tenure

4.9yrs

Average Tenure

61yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: GFS's board of directors are considered experienced (4.9 years average tenure).


Insider Trading

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


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Ownership Breakdown


Management Team

  • Ashley Almanza (56yo)

    CEO & Executive Director

    • Tenure: 6.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£2.93m
  • Tim Weller (56yo)

    CFO & Executive Director

    • Tenure: 6.5yrs
    • Compensation: UK£1.97m
  • Søren Lundsberg-Nielsen (67yo)

    Group General Counsel

    • Tenure: 18.8yrs
  • Helen Parris

    Director of Investor Relations

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Graham Levinsohn

    Regional Chief Executive Officer of Europe & the Middle East

    • Tenure: 5.9yrs
  • Jenni Myles

    Group Human Resources Director

    • Tenure: 4.3yrs
  • Mel Brooks

    Regional President of Africa

    • Tenure: 4.4yrs
  • John Kenning

    Regional Chief Executive Officer of the Americas

    • Tenure: 4.9yrs
  • Stephane Verdoy

    Group Sales & Marketing Director

    • Tenure: 1.7yrs
  • Sophie McMillan

    Head of Media

    • Tenure: 0yrs

Board Members

  • Ashley Almanza (56yo)

    CEO & Executive Director

    • Tenure: 6.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£2.93m
  • Tim Weller (56yo)

    CFO & Executive Director

    • Tenure: 6.5yrs
    • Compensation: UK£1.97m
  • John Connolly (68yo)

    Independent Chairman of the Board

    • Tenure: 7.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£385.72k
  • Steve Mogford (62yo)

    Senior Independent Director

    • Tenure: 3.4yrs
    • Compensation: UK£80.49k
  • Clare Chapman (59yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 0.08yrs
  • Barbara Thoralfsson (60yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£84.29k
  • Winnie Kin (63yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 9yrs
    • Compensation: UK£81.90k
  • Paul Spence (60yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 6.8yrs
    • Compensation: UK£94.90k
  • John Ramsay (62yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 1.8yrs
    • Compensation: UK£89.32k
  • Elisabeth Fleuriot (63yo)

    Non-Executive Director

    • Tenure: 1.3yrs
    • Compensation: UK£49.87k

Company Information

G4S plc's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: G4S plc
  • Ticker: GFS
  • Exchange: LSE
  • Founded: 1901
  • Industry: Security and Alarm Services
  • Sector: Commercial Services
  • Market Cap: UK£3.062b
  • Shares outstanding: 1.55b
  • Website: https://www.g4s.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • G4S plc
  • Southside
  • 5th Floor
  • London
  • Greater London
  • SW1E 6QT
  • United Kingdom

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
GFSLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPJul 2004
G4SCPSE (OMX Nordic Exchange Copenhagen)YesOrdinary SharesDKDKKJul 2004
GHNDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesOrdinary SharesDEEURJul 2004
GFSZ.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesOrdinary SharesUSUSDJul 2004
GFSLBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPJul 2004
G4SCBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesOrdinary SharesGBDKKJul 2004
GFSZ.YOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)UNSPONSORD ADRUSUSDOct 2008

Biography

G4S plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides security and related services in Africa, the Americas, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. The company offers software tools, including evidence based risk  ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2019/10/16 20:31
End of Day Share Price2019/10/16 00:00
Earnings2019/06/30
Annual Earnings2018/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.