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YCA

Yellow Cake AIM:YCA Stock Report

Last Price

UK£3.97

Market Cap

UK£696.2m

7D

-0.6%

1Y

20.8%

Updated

27 Sep, 2022

Data

Company Financials +

Yellow Cake Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Yellow Cake
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£3.97
52 Week HighUK£4.87
52 Week LowUK£2.94
Beta0.44
1 Month Change0.25%
3 Month Change20.39%
1 Year Change20.79%
3 Year Change99.00%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO94.51%

Recent News & Updates

Sep 25
Here's Why We Think Yellow Cake (LON:YCA) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Here's Why We Think Yellow Cake (LON:YCA) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...

Jun 09
Yellow Cake (LON:YCA) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Yellow Cake (LON:YCA) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...

Shareholder Returns

YCAGB Trade DistributorsGB Market
7D-0.6%-2.8%-3.2%
1Y20.8%-19.6%-14.6%

Return vs Industry: YCA exceeded the UK Trade Distributors industry which returned -19.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: YCA exceeded the UK Market which returned -14.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is YCA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
YCA volatility
YCA Average Weekly Movement6.2%
Trade Distributors Industry Average Movement4.8%
Market Average Movement5.2%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market10.8%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market2.6%

Stable Share Price: YCA is not significantly more volatile than the rest of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.

Volatility Over Time: YCA's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20182Andre Liebenberghttps://www.yellowcakeplc.com

Yellow Cake plc, a specialist company, operates in the uranium sector. It is involved in the purchase and holding of uranium oxide concentrates; and exploitation of other uranium-related opportunities. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey.

Yellow Cake Fundamentals Summary

How do Yellow Cake's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
YCA fundamental statistics
Market CapUK£696.16m
Earnings (TTM)UK£388.12m
Revenue (TTM)UK£394.50m

1.9x

P/E Ratio

1.8x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
YCA income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$424.12m
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$424.12m
Other ExpensesUS$6.85m
EarningsUS$417.27m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.28
Gross Margin100.00%
Net Profit Margin98.38%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.0%

How did YCA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is YCA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YCA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

YCA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio-0.02x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YCA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

YCA PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for YCA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
LTHM James Latham
4.9xn/aUK£225.4m
12x4.8%UK£307.2m
GFTU Grafton Group
7.7x-3.5%UK£1.5b
DPLM Diploma
40.9x15.4%UK£3.0b
YCA Yellow Cake
1.8x-109.3%UK£696.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YCA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Trade Distributors Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the UK Trade Distributors industry average (13.2x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YCA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YCA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.9x
Fair PE Ratio1.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YCA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.6x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YCA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate YCA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate YCA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Future Growth

How is Yellow Cake forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

Future Growth Score

0/6

Future Growth Score 0/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


-109.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: YCA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-109.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: YCA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-109.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: YCA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if YCA's revenue is forecast to grow faster than the UK market.

High Growth Revenue: Insufficient data to determine if YCA's revenue is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if YCA's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Discover growth companies

Past Performance

How has Yellow Cake performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

3/6

Past Performance Score 3/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


1,295.0%

Last years earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: YCA has a high level of non-cash earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: YCA's current net profit margins (98.4%) are higher than last year (88.2%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: Insufficient data to determine if YCA's year-on-year earnings growth rate was positive over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: Insufficient data to compare YCA's past year earnings growth to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: YCA earnings growth over the past year (1295%) exceeded the Trade Distributors industry 38.9%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: YCA's Return on Equity (39%) is considered high.


Discover strong past performing companies

Financial Health

How is Yellow Cake's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: YCA's short term assets ($153.3M) exceed its short term liabilities ($970.0K).

Long Term Liabilities: YCA has no long term liabilities.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: YCA is debt free.

Reducing Debt: YCA has not had any debt for past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: YCA has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: YCA has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


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Dividend

What is Yellow Cake current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Yellow Cake Dividend Yield vs Market
How does Yellow Cake dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (Yellow Cake)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (GB)2.1%
Market Top 25% (GB)5.9%
Industry Average (Trade Distributors)2.4%
Analyst forecast in 3 Years (Yellow Cake)0%

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate YCA's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate YCA's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if YCA's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if YCA's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as YCA has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.3yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Andre Liebenberg (60 yo)

no data

Tenure

US$356,000

Compensation

Mr. Andre Leon Liebenberg serves as Director of Integris Metals, Inc. He is CEO & Executive Director of Yellow Cake plc from June 01, 2018. He was Independent Non-Executive Director of Danakali Limited fro...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Andre Liebenberg's Compensation vs Yellow Cake Earnings
How has Andre Liebenberg's remuneration changed compared to Yellow Cake's earnings?
DateTotal Comp.SalaryCompany Earnings
Mar 31 2022US$356kUS$207k

US$417m

Dec 31 2021n/an/a

US$297m

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

US$177m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

US$104m

Mar 31 2021US$287kUS$204k

US$30m

Dec 31 2020n/an/a

US$34m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

US$37m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

US$25m

Mar 31 2020US$216kUS$215k

US$13m

Sep 30 2019n/an/a

-US$22m

Mar 31 2019US$93kUS$93k

US$25m

Compensation vs Market: Andre's total compensation ($USD356.00K) is below average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD1.34M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Andre's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.


Board Members

Experienced Board: YCA's board of directors are considered experienced (4.3 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

What is the ownership structure of YCA?
Owner TypeNumber of SharesOwnership Percentage
Private Companies4,200,1972.3%
Individual Insiders6,129,6463.3%
Public Companies6,957,4313.8%
Hedge Funds30,967,26416.9%
General Public53,523,07029.2%
Institutions81,326,73144.4%

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 19.2%.


Top Shareholders

Top 25 shareholders own 66.42% of the company
OwnershipNameSharesCurrent ValueChange %Portfolio %
10.87%
MM Asset Management Inc
19,900,028$79.0m-9.11%5.2%
6.04%
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC
11,067,236$43.9m10.44%1.68%
5.43%
Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd
9,934,107$39.4m-10.42%0.06%
5.18%
IBG LLC, Asset Management Arm
9,476,805$37.6m42.6%12.45%
4.96%
Sprott Asset Management LP
9,088,391$36.1m2.86%1.96%
4.84%
ALPS Advisors, Inc.
8,869,146$35.2m0%0.29%
4.24%
Brandes Investment Partners, LP
7,761,508$30.8m-18.29%0.37%
3.8%
Uranium Royalty Corp.
6,957,431$27.6m0%no data
3.21%
Stuart Feldman
5,870,000$23.3m0%no data
3.07%
Sachem Cove Partners LLC
5,612,950$22.3m0%no data
2.29%
JD Squared Capital LLC
4,200,197$16.7m0%no data
2.19%
azValor Asset Management SGIIC, S.A.U.
4,016,091$15.9m0%1%
1.92%
Amitell Capital Pte. Ltd.
3,510,756$13.9m0%15.3%
1.43%
Heptagon Capital LLP
2,610,661$10.4m0%1.08%
1.32%
AS LHV Varahaldus
2,412,093$9.6m-19.83%1.83%
1.05%
BlackRock, Inc.
1,914,985$7.6m-1.05%no data
0.91%
HudsonView Capital
1,669,803$6.6m0%no data
0.67%
Fidelity International Ltd
1,225,000$4.9m0%no data
0.6%
Premier Fund Managers Limited
1,099,999$4.4m-1.35%0.05%
0.53%
Quaestio Capital Management SGR S.p.A Unipersonale
969,728$3.8m0%0.24%
0.43%
PHZ Privat- und Handelsbank Zürich AG, Asset Management Arm
783,684$3.1m0%4.59%
0.4%
Incrementum AG
725,000$2.9m61.11%3.01%
0.35%
Privatinvestor Verwaltungs AG
650,000$2.6m0%8.13%
0.35%
Plutos Vermögensverwaltung
650,000$2.6m0%1.54%
0.35%
Ampega Investment GmbH
650,000$2.6m0%0.15%

Company Information

Yellow Cake plc's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Yellow Cake plc
  • Ticker: YCA
  • Exchange: AIM
  • Founded: 2018
  • Industry: Trading Companies and Distributors
  • Sector: Capital Goods
  • Implied Market Cap: UK£696.163m
  • Shares outstanding: 183.10m
  • Website: https://www.yellowcakeplc.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Yellow Cake plc
  • Liberation House
  • 3rd Floor
  • Saint Helier
  • JE1 2LH
  • Jersey


Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
YCAAIM (London Stock Exchange AIM Market)YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPJul 2018
YLLX.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesOrdinary SharesUSUSDJul 2018
0LZDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesOrdinary SharesDEEURJul 2018

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/09/27 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/09/27 00:00
Earnings2022/03/31
Annual Earnings2022/03/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.