Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (LSE:AML) - Share price, News & Analysis

AML fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	2/6
Future Growth	1/6
Past Performance	0/6
Financial Health	2/6
Dividends	0/6

AML Stock Overview

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells luxury sports cars under the Aston Martin and Lagonda brand names worldwide.

Rewards

Trading at 77% below our estimate of its fair value

Revenue is forecast to grow 19.62% per year

Risk Analysis

Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

Volatile share price over the past 3 months

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Competitors

Toyota Motor

TSE:7203

JP¥28.1t

Mercedes-Benz Group

XTRA:MBG

€67.7b

Bayerische Motoren Werke

XTRA:BMW

€50.9b

Ford Motor

NYSE:F

US$50.2b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	UK£6.69
52 Week High	UK£22.62
52 Week Low	UK£6.42
Beta	1.64
1 Month Change	-25.66%
3 Month Change	-40.12%
1 Year Change	-64.40%
3 Year Change	-96.03%
5 Year Change	n/a
Change since IPO	-98.15%

Shareholder Returns

	AML	GB Auto	GB Market
7D	-5.6%	-0.2%	-0.4%
1Y	-64.4%	-20.9%	-3.9%

Return vs Industry: AML underperformed the UK Auto industry which returned -20.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AML underperformed the UK Market which returned -3.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AML's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AML volatility
AML Average Weekly Movement	10.9%
Auto Industry Average Movement	7.5%
Market Average Movement	6.2%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market	11.6%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market	3.2%

Stable Share Price: AML is more volatile than 75% of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 11% a week.

Volatility Over Time: AML's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2018	2,207	Amedeo Felisa	https://www.astonmartinlagonda.com

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells luxury sports cars under the Aston Martin and Lagonda brand names worldwide. It also engages in the sale of parts; sale of vehicles; servicing of vehicles; and brand and motorsport activities. The company sells its vehicles through a network of dealers.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Fundamentals Summary

How do Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AML fundamental statistics
Market Cap	UK£779.35m
Earnings (TTM)	-UK£261.80m
Revenue (TTM)	UK£1.10b

0.7x

P/S Ratio

-3.0x

P/E Ratio

Is AML overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
AML income statement (TTM)
Revenue	UK£1.10b
Cost of Revenue	UK£739.20m
Gross Profit	UK£364.40m
Other Expenses	UK£626.20m
Earnings	-UK£261.80m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	-2.25
Gross Margin	33.02%
Net Profit Margin	-23.72%
Debt/Equity Ratio	227.4%

How did AML perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PE vs Industry
PE vs Market
PEG Ratio
PB vs Industry

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: AML (£6.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£29.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AML is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: AML is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the European Auto industry average.

PE vs Market: AML is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AML's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.

Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: AML's PB Ratio (1.4x) is in line with the XE Auto industry average.

Future Growth

How is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 8 analysts?

Future Growth Score

1/6

Future Growth Score 1/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

82.5%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AML is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: AML is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: AML is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AML's revenue (19.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AML's revenue (19.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AML is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

Past Performance

How has Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

0/6

Past Performance Score 0/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

-53.6%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AML is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: AML is currently unprofitable.

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AML is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 53.6% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare AML's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: AML is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Auto industry (56.9%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: AML has a negative Return on Equity (-46.85%), as it is currently unprofitable.

Financial Health

How is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings's financial position?

Financial Health Score

2/6

Financial Health Score 2/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Stable Cash Runway
Forecast Cash Runway

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AML's short term assets (£911.2M) do not cover its short term liabilities (£1.0B).

Long Term Liabilities: AML's short term assets (£911.2M) do not cover its long term liabilities (£1.3B).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AML's net debt to equity ratio (154.5%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: AML's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 831.9% to 227.4% over the past 5 years.

Balance Sheet

Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: AML has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: Insufficient data to determine if AML has enough cash runway if its free cash flow continues to grow or shrink based on historical rates.

Dividend

What is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate AML's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate AML's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if AML's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if AML's dividend payments have been increasing.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as AML has not reported any payouts.

Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.3yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

Amedeo Felisa (75 yo)

no data

Tenure

UK£34,000

Compensation

Mr. Amedeo Felisa serves as Chief executive Officer and Executive Director of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc since May 04, 2022. He had been Independent Non-Executive Director of Aston Martin Lag...

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: AML's management team is considered experienced (3.3 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: AML's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/05/21 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/05/20 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31