Velcan SA (EPA:ALVEL): Has Recent Earnings Growth Beaten Long-Term Trend?

Understanding how Velcan SA (ENXTPA:ALVEL) is performing as a company requires looking at more than just a years’ earnings. Today I will run you through a basic sense check to gain perspective on how Velcan is doing by comparing its latest earnings with its long-term trend as well as the performance of its renewable energy industry peers. See our latest analysis for Velcan

How Well Did ALVEL Perform?

I use data from the most recent 12 months, which annualizes the most recent half-year data, or in some cases, the latest annual report is already the most recent financial year data. This technique enables me to analyze different companies on a similar basis, using the most relevant data points. For Velcan, its most recent trailing-twelve-month earnings is -€129.00K, which, in comparison to the previous year’s figure, has become less negative. Since these figures are fairly short-term thinking, I have computed an annualized five-year value for ALVEL’s earnings, which stands at €1.15M.

ENXTPA:ALVEL Income Statement Apr 27th 18
ENXTPA:ALVEL Income Statement Apr 27th 18
We can further examine Velcan’s loss by looking at what the industry has been experiencing over the past few years. Each year, for the last five years Velcan has seen an annual decline in revenue of -8.53%, on average. This adverse movement is a driver of the company’s inability to reach breakeven. Has the entire industry experienced this headwind? Viewing growth from a sector-level, the FR renewable energy industry has been increasing growth, more than doubling average earnings in the past twelve months, and a substantial 13.14% over the past five. This suggests that any uplift the industry is deriving benefit from, Velcan has not been able to reap as much as its industry peers.

What does this mean?

While past data is useful, it doesn’t tell the whole story. With companies that are currently loss-making, it is always difficult to envisage what will happen in the future and when. The most useful step is to examine company-specific issues Velcan may be facing and whether management guidance has dependably been met in the past. I recommend you continue to research Velcan to get a better picture of the stock by looking at:

  1. Financial Health: Is ALVEL’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 30 June 2017. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.