Will Weakness in Nexity SA's (EPA:NXI) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 21, 2021
ENXTPA:NXI
Source: Shutterstock

It is hard to get excited after looking at Nexity's (EPA:NXI) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.2% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Nexity's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Nexity

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nexity is:

21% = €401m ÷ €1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.21 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Nexity's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Nexity has a significantly high ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 9.3% which is quite remarkable. This likely paved the way for the modest 7.2% net income growth seen by Nexity over the past five years. growth

As a next step, we compared Nexity's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 7.2% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
ENXTPA:NXI Past Earnings Growth August 22nd 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Nexity is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Nexity Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While Nexity has a three-year median payout ratio of 69% (which means it retains 31% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Moreover, Nexity is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 63%. However, Nexity's future ROE is expected to decline to 12% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Nexity's performance. Especially the high ROE, Which has contributed to the impressive growth seen in earnings. Despite the company reinvesting only a small portion of its profits, it still has managed to grow its earnings so that is appreciable. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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