Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Trigano S.A. (EPA:TRI) After Its Full-Year Report

Shareholders of Trigano S.A. (EPA:TRI) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 19% to €172 following its latest full-year results. Revenues of €3.7b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at €12.41, missing estimates by 2.1%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Trigano's nine analysts is for revenues of €3.93b in 2026. This would reflect an okay 6.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 27% to €15.71. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €3.92b and earnings per share (EPS) of €15.47 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

View our latest analysis for Trigano

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of €187, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Trigano, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €210 and the most bearish at €156 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Trigano's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 6.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.8% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 3.5% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Trigano is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €187, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Trigano going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Even so, be aware that Trigano is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.