Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Stock?

Published
June 28, 2022
HLSE:NESTE
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Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 11% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Neste Oyj's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Neste Oyj

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Neste Oyj is:

29% = €2.0b ÷ €7.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each €1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made €0.29 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Neste Oyj's Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

To begin with, Neste Oyj has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 14% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Probably as a result of this, Neste Oyj was able to see a decent net income growth of 13% over the last five years.

We then compared Neste Oyj's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 6.8% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
HLSE:NESTE Past Earnings Growth June 28th 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is NESTE worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether NESTE is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Neste Oyj Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 47% (implying that the company retains 53% of its profits), it seems that Neste Oyj is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Moreover, Neste Oyj is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 50%. However, Neste Oyj's future ROE is expected to decline to 23% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Neste Oyj's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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