Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Jyske Bank (CPH:JYSK) Stock A Year Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 33% Loss, Today

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CPSE:JYSK
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It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. For example, the Jyske Bank A/S (CPH:JYSK) share price is down 33% in the last year. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 7.6%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 8.5% in three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 14% in the last 90 days.

See our latest analysis for Jyske Bank

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Unhappily, Jyske Bank had to report a 7.3% decline in EPS over the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 33% share price fall. This suggests the EPS fall has made some shareholders are more nervous about the business. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 8.18.

CPSE:JYSK Past and Future Earnings, July 8th 2019
CPSE:JYSK Past and Future Earnings, July 8th 2019

Dive deeper into Jyske Bank's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Jyske Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Jyske Bank's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Jyske Bank's TSR of was a loss of 33% for the year. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Jyske Bank had a tough year, with a total loss of 33% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 7.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4.0% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should 'buy when there is blood on the streets', but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Jyske Bank's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DK exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About CPSE:JYSK

Jyske Bank

Jyske Bank A/S provides various financial solutions in Denmark and Germany.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation1
Future Growth3
Past Performance2
Financial Health2
Dividends0

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Moderate growth potential with questionable track record.