The latest earnings update Software Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:SOW) released in December 2018 suggested that the company experienced a robust tailwind, leading to a double-digit earnings growth of 17%. Today I want to provide a brief commentary on how market analysts view Software’s earnings growth trajectory over the next few years and whether the future looks even brighter than the past. I will be using net income excluding extraordinary items in order to exclude one-off volatility which I am not interested in.
Market analysts’ consensus outlook for this coming year seems pessimistic, with earnings reducing by -1.9%. But in the following year, there is a complete contrast in performance, with arriving at double digit 7.6% compared to today’s level and continues to increase to €182m in 2022.
Although it is helpful to be aware of the growth year by year relative to today’s value, it may be more insightful to evaluate the rate at which the company is moving on average every year. The pro of this method is that it removes the impact of near term flucuations and accounts for the overarching direction of Software’s earnings trajectory over time, which may be more relevant for long term investors. To compute this rate, I’ve appended a line of best fit through the forecasted earnings by market analysts. The slope of this line is the rate of earnings growth, which in this case is 3.9%. This means, we can anticipate Software will grow its earnings by 3.9% every year for the next few years.
For Software, I’ve put together three relevant aspects you should look at:
- Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
- Valuation: What is SOW worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SOW is currently mispriced by the market.
- Other High-Growth Alternatives: Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of SOW? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.