MarineMax Valuation

Is MLW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MLW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MLW (€28.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€36.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MLW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLW?

Key metric: As MLW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MLW. This is calculated by dividing MLW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MLW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.1x
EarningsUS$38.07m
Market CapUS$690.49m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MLW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MLW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
FIE Fielmann Group
23.8x18.9%€3.4b
HBH HORNBACH Holding KGaA
7.7x6.8%€1.3b
CEC Ceconomy
10.8x22.4%€1.5b
HBM HORNBACH Baumarkt
24.8xn/a€1.8b
MLW MarineMax
18.1x31.0%€690.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MLW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MLW 18.1xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MLW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MLW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.1x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MLW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MLW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.20
€36.91
+30.9%
7.4%€40.99€31.67n/a8
Nov ’25€26.72
€36.80
+37.7%
6.2%€40.60€33.22n/a8
Oct ’25€31.42
€38.31
+21.9%
8.5%€44.39€33.52n/a7
Sep ’25€28.04
€38.07
+35.8%
8.6%€44.72€33.77n/a7
Aug ’25€32.02
€39.14
+22.2%
7.7%€45.13€36.84n/a6
Jul ’25€29.90
€32.27
+7.9%
17.7%€44.44€24.07n/a7
Jun ’25€25.48
€30.72
+20.6%
10.7%€34.92€23.89n/a7
May ’25€24.14
€31.92
+32.2%
10.3%€35.52€24.30n/a7
Apr ’25€29.80
€34.21
+14.8%
6.9%€37.12€30.63n/a7
Mar ’25€30.60
€34.21
+11.8%
6.9%€37.12€30.63n/a7
Feb ’25€25.80
€34.22
+32.6%
11.0%€38.69€26.71n/a7
Jan ’25€35.40
€36.31
+2.6%
10.6%€41.15€28.35n/a7
Dec ’24€27.20
€35.98
+32.3%
11.7%€41.97€28.91n/a7
Nov ’24€25.80
€37.23
+44.3%
11.2%€42.59€29.34€26.726
Oct ’24€30.60
€40.73
+33.1%
8.8%€43.79€32.61€31.427
Sep ’24€30.60
€40.92
+33.7%
3.4%€42.74€39.10€28.047
Aug ’24€36.60
€40.92
+11.8%
3.4%€42.74€39.10€32.027
Jul ’24€30.40
€33.19
+9.2%
15.8%€44.56€27.85€29.908
Jun ’24€26.40
€33.19
+25.7%
15.8%€44.56€27.85€25.488
May ’24€25.00
€34.71
+38.8%
19.7%€47.19€27.23€24.148
Apr ’24€25.40
€39.55
+55.7%
15.5%€48.83€31.93€29.809
Mar ’24€31.60
€39.55
+25.1%
15.5%€48.83€31.93€30.609
Feb ’24€28.60
€36.80
+28.7%
15.1%€47.83€30.36€25.809
Jan ’24€29.40
€41.68
+41.8%
14.7%€51.84€32.99€35.409
Dec ’23€31.60
€42.57
+34.7%
15.6%€53.21€33.86€27.207
Nov ’23€32.60
€44.73
+37.2%
14.5%€55.20€35.13€25.807

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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