What Are The Drivers Of Kids Brands House NV.’s (BST:N9VA) Risks?

For Kids Brands House NV.’s (BST:N9VA) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Broadly speaking, there are two types of risk you should consider when investing in stocks such as N9VA. The first risk to consider is company-specific, which can be diversified away when you invest in other companies in the same industry as N9VA, because it is rare that an entire industry collapses at once. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk. A widely-used metric to measure a stock’s market risk is beta, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

View our latest analysis for Kids Brands House

What is N9VA’s market risk?

With a beta of 2.81, Kids Brands House is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. According to this value of beta, N9VA may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

BST:N9VA Income Statement Mar 19th 18
BST:N9VA Income Statement Mar 19th 18

How does N9VA’s size and industry impact its risk?

A market capitalisation of €7.31M puts N9VA in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. In addition to size, N9VA also operates in the capital markets industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. Therefore, investors may expect high beta associated with small companies, as well as those operating in the capital markets industry, relative to those more well-established firms in a more defensive industry. This is consistent with N9VA’s individual beta value we discussed above.

Can N9VA’s asset-composition point to a higher beta?

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I test N9VA’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets is virtually non-existent in N9VA’s operations, it has low dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. However, this is the opposite to what N9VA’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.

What this means for you:

You could benefit from higher returns during times of economic growth. However, in times of a downturn, it may be safe to look at a more defensive stock which can cushion the impact of lower demand. It’s always wise to take into account your portfolio sensitivity to the market before you invest in N9VA, as well as where we are in the current economic cycle. In order to fully understand whether N9VA is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Kids Brands House’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is N9VA’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.