Does TUI AG’s (ETR:TUI1) P/E Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We’ll look at TUI AG’s (ETR:TUI1) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company’s share price. TUI has a price to earnings ratio of 11, based on the last twelve months. In other words, at today’s prices, investors are paying €11 for every €1 in prior year profit.

View our latest analysis for TUI

How Do I Calculate A Price To Earnings Ratio?

The formula for price to earnings is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for TUI:

P/E of 11 = €14.76 ÷ €1.34 (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2018.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each €1 of company earnings. That isn’t a good or a bad thing on its own, but a high P/E means that buyers have a higher opinion of the business’s prospects, relative to stocks with a lower P/E.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. That’s because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the ‘E’ in the equation. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others — and that may attract buyers.

TUI increased earnings per share by a whopping 47% last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 46% per year over the last five years. So we’d generally expect it to have a relatively high P/E ratio.

How Does TUI’s P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can get an indication of market expectations by looking at the P/E ratio. The image below shows that TUI has a lower P/E than the average (14.3) P/E for companies in the hospitality industry.

XTRA:TUI1 PE PEG Gauge November 9th 18
XTRA:TUI1 PE PEG Gauge November 9th 18

Its relatively low P/E ratio indicates that TUI shareholders think it will struggle to do as well as other companies in its industry classification. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don’t Consider The Balance Sheet

It’s important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. That means it doesn’t take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

How Does TUI’s Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

TUI has net cash of €568m. That should lead to a higher P/E than if it did have debt, because its strong balance sheets gives it more options.

The Verdict On TUI’s P/E Ratio

TUI has a P/E of 11. That’s below the average in the DE market, which is 18.3. The net cash position gives plenty of options to the business, and the recent improvement in EPS is good to see. The relatively low P/E ratio implies the market is pessimistic.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.