At €32.35, Is It Time To Put OHB SE (ETR:OHB) On Your Watch List?

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OHB SE (ETR:OHB), which is in the aerospace & defense business, and is based in Germany, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the XTRA over the last few months, increasing to €36.75 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €31. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether OHB’s current trading price of €32.35 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at OHB’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for OHB

What is OHB worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that OHB’s ratio of 21.36x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 22.43x, which means if you buy OHB today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that OHB should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that OHB’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from OHB?

XTRA:OHB Past and Future Earnings, July 11th 2019
XTRA:OHB Past and Future Earnings, July 11th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. OHB’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 31%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in OHB’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at OHB? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on OHB, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for OHB, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on OHB. You can find everything you need to know about OHB in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in OHB, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.