Daimler Truck Holding AG Just Recorded A 8.0% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

It's been a mediocre week for Daimler Truck Holding AG (ETR:DTG) shareholders, with the stock dropping 11% to €38.78 in the week since its latest interim results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of €25b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Daimler Truck Holding surprised by delivering a statutory profit of €1.35 per share, modestly greater than expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the 14 analysts covering Daimler Truck Holding provided consensus estimates of €50.9b revenue in 2025, which would reflect a small 3.0% decline over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 3.0% to €3.21. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €51.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of €3.42 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.

Check out our latest analysis for Daimler Truck Holding

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at €44.43, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Daimler Truck Holding analyst has a price target of €56.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €32.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 5.9% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 3.8% over the last three years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 5.9% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Daimler Truck Holding is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Daimler Truck Holding. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Daimler Truck Holding going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 3 warning signs for Daimler Truck Holding (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.