Stock Analysis

Despite delivering investors losses of 58% over the past 3 years, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics (SHSE:600360) has been growing its earnings

SHSE:600360
Source: Shutterstock

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Jilin Sino-Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600360) share price has gained 25% in the last three months. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Indeed, the share price is down a tragic 59% in the last three years. So it is really good to see an improvement. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.

While the last three years has been tough for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

View our latest analysis for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Although the share price is down over three years, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics actually managed to grow EPS by 25% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

With a rather small yield of just 0.4% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 6.8% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600360 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 25th 2024

This free interactive report on Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics shareholders are down 50% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.