Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Yoke Technology's (SZSE:002409) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Published
SZSE:002409

Following the solid earnings report from Jiangsu Yoke Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002409), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yoke Technology

SZSE:002409 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024

Zooming In On Jiangsu Yoke Technology's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Jiangsu Yoke Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to March 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.4b despite its profit of CN¥652.5m, mentioned above. We also note that Jiangsu Yoke Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥1.4b.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Jiangsu Yoke Technology's Profit Performance

Jiangsu Yoke Technology didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Jiangsu Yoke Technology's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 53% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Yoke Technology and you'll want to know about this.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Yoke Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.