Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600486) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

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SHSE:600486

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.5x Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600486) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 36x and even P/E's higher than 70x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical

SHSE:600486 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 29th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 36% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 39% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.