Comefly Outdoor Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Comefly Outdoor is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24.3% and 13.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 20.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24.7% in 3 years.

Key information

24.3%

Earnings growth rate

20.1%

EPS growth rate

Leisure earnings growth	21.9%
Revenue growth rate	13.8%
Future return on equity	24.7%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	31 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Improved Earnings Required Before Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603908) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified

Mar 14

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSE:603908 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,054	181	157	27	3
12/31/2025	1,889	158	113	266	4
12/31/2024	1,663	134	-25	-56	4
6/30/2024	1,431	89	107	154	N/A
3/31/2024	1,469	109	166	230	N/A
12/31/2023	1,456	107	204	279	N/A
9/30/2023	1,433	120	129	206	N/A
6/30/2023	1,429	124	81	159	N/A
3/31/2023	1,452	133	6	69	N/A
12/31/2022	1,436	141	-50	1	N/A
9/30/2022	1,357	137	-99	-71	N/A
6/30/2022	1,253	138	7	20	N/A
3/31/2022	1,041	94	-126	-111	N/A
12/31/2021	923	79	-69	-55	N/A
9/30/2021	856	68	-69	-56	N/A
6/30/2021	806	62	-7	7	N/A
3/31/2021	686	55	13	22	N/A
12/31/2020	643	46	10	18	N/A
9/30/2020	597	48	73	76	N/A
6/30/2020	576	41	-20	-17	N/A
3/31/2020	556	41	-2	1	N/A
12/31/2019	529	41	26	28	N/A
9/30/2019	534	41	23	26	N/A
6/30/2019	522	40	18	25	N/A
3/31/2019	539	34	35	42	N/A
12/31/2018	551	41	21	28	N/A
9/30/2018	557	41	16	31	N/A
6/30/2018	555	44	22	37	N/A
3/31/2018	533	45	N/A	4	N/A
12/31/2017	516	50	N/A	34	N/A
9/30/2017	499	56	N/A	50	N/A
6/30/2017	483	56	N/A	13	N/A
3/31/2017	441	53	N/A	17	N/A
12/31/2016	431	47	N/A	42	N/A
12/31/2015	455	54	N/A	74	N/A
12/31/2014	432	35	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2013	398	46	N/A	5	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 603908's forecast earnings growth (24.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: 603908's earnings (24.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the CN market (17% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 603908's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 603908's revenue (13.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the CN market (10.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 603908's revenue (13.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 603908's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.7%)

Comefly Outdoor Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Price target decreased by 7.5% to CN¥50.32

Price target decreased by 10% to CN¥64.20

Recent updates

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.22 (vs CN¥0.73 in 2Q 2023)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 30, 2024

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 31%

Now 39% undervalued after recent price drop

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Improved Earnings Required Before Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603908) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified

Now 26% overvalued

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 24%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Price target decreased by 7.5% to CN¥50.32

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.20 (vs CN¥0.25 in 3Q 2022)

Price target decreased by 10% to CN¥64.20

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.02 (vs CN¥1.15 in 2Q 2022)

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603908) announces an Equity Buyback for CNY 30 million worth of its shares.

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.25 (vs CN¥0.27 in 3Q 2021)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.15 (vs CN¥0.48 in 2Q 2021)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.27 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.69 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2019)

New 90-day low: CN¥19.70

New 90-day low: CN¥21.64

New 90-day low: CN¥24.00

New 90-day high: CN¥28.74

Third quarter earnings released

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 31, 2020

New 90-day high: CN¥28.29

New 90-day low: CN¥24.39

Earnings released

Comefly Outdoor Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 25, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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