Stock Analysis

Earnings growth of 0.06% over 3 years hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for Compañía General de Electricidad (SNSE:CGE) shareholders

Published
SNSE:CGE

Compañía General de Electricidad S.A. (SNSE:CGE) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 30% in the last quarter. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Indeed, the share price is down a tragic 71% in the last three years. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.

With the stock having lost 12% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

Check out our latest analysis for Compañía General de Electricidad

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Compañía General de Electricidad actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.2% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.

With a rather small yield of just 0.5% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 12% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Compañía General de Electricidad more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SNSE:CGE Earnings and Revenue Growth July 29th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Compañía General de Electricidad had a tough year, with a total loss of 7.9% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 8.0%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Compañía General de Electricidad (of which 3 are concerning!) you should know about.

But note: Compañía General de Electricidad may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chilean exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.