Empresas Lipigas' (SNSE:LIPIGAS) earnings trajectory could turn positive as the stock spikes 11% this past week

By
Simply Wall St
Published
September 01, 2021
SNSE:LIPIGAS
Source: Shutterstock

Empresas Lipigas S.A. (SNSE:LIPIGAS) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 38% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

Check out our latest analysis for Empresas Lipigas

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Empresas Lipigas saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 5.9% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 15% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 11.40.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SNSE:LIPIGAS Earnings Per Share Growth September 2nd 2021

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Empresas Lipigas' TSR for the last 3 years was -27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Empresas Lipigas shareholders are down 18% for the year, (even including dividends), but the broader market is up 11%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. The three-year loss of 8% per year isn't as bad as the last twelve months, suggesting that the company has not been able to convince the market it has solved its problems. Although Baron Rothschild famously said to "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Empresas Lipigas you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CL exchanges.

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