Are Bâloise Holding AG's (VTX:BALN) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 14, 2020
SWX:BALN

With its stock down 8.6% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Bâloise Holding (VTX:BALN). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Bâloise Holding's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Bâloise Holding

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Bâloise Holding is:

7.6% = CHF472m ÷ CHF6.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CHF1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CHF0.08 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Bâloise Holding's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

When you first look at it, Bâloise Holding's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.2%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. On the other hand, Bâloise Holding reported a fairly low 2.3% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high . Hence, this does provide some context to low earnings growth seen by the company.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Bâloise Holding's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 6.1% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SWX:BALN Past Earnings Growth October 14th 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for BALN? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Bâloise Holding Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While Bâloise Holding has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 49% (or a retention ratio of 51%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Bâloise Holding has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 53%. Still, forecasts suggest that Bâloise Holding's future ROE will rise to 9.4% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Bâloise Holding. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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