Is Julius Baer Group Ltd. (VTX:BAER) A Smart Choice For Dividend Investors?

A sizeable part of portfolio returns can be produced by dividend stocks due to their contribution to compounding returns in the long run. Historically, Julius Baer Group Ltd. (VTX:BAER) has been paying a dividend to shareholders. Today it yields 3.5%. Let’s dig deeper into whether Julius Baer Group should have a place in your portfolio.

View our latest analysis for Julius Baer Group

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5 questions to ask before buying a dividend stock

When researching a dividend stock, I always follow the following screening criteria:

  • Is it the top 25% annual dividend yield payer?
  • Has it paid dividend every year without dramatically reducing payout in the past?
  • Has dividend per share risen in the past couple of years?
  • Can it afford to pay the current rate of dividends from its earnings?
  • Will it have the ability to keep paying its dividends going forward?
SWX:BAER Historical Dividend Yield January 18th 19
SWX:BAER Historical Dividend Yield January 18th 19

Does Julius Baer Group pass our checks?

The current trailing twelve-month payout ratio for the stock is 38%, meaning the dividend is sufficiently covered by earnings. Going forward, analysts expect BAER’s payout to increase to 44% of its earnings. Assuming a constant share price, this equates to a dividend yield of around 4.6%. However, EPS is forecasted to fall to CHF3.64 in the upcoming year. Therefore, although payout is expected to increase, the fall in earnings may not equate to higher dividend income.

If you want to dive deeper into the sustainability of a certain payout ratio, you may wish to consider the cash flow of the business. Companies with strong cash flow can sustain a higher payout ratio, while companies with weaker cash flow generally cannot.

If there is one thing that you want to be reliable in your life, it’s dividend stocks and their constant income stream. The reality is that it is too early to consider Julius Baer Group as a dividend investment. It has only been consistently paying dividends for 9 years, however, standard practice for reliable payers is to look for a 10-year minimum track record.

Compared to its peers, Julius Baer Group has a yield of 3.5%, which is on the low-side for Capital Markets stocks.

Next Steps:

Whilst there are few things you may like about Julius Baer Group from a dividend stock perspective, the truth is that overall it probably is not the best choice for a dividend investor. But if you are not exclusively a dividend investor, the stock could still be an interesting investment opportunity. Given that this is purely a dividend analysis, I urge potential investors to try and get a good understanding of the underlying business and its fundamentals before deciding on an investment. I’ve put together three key aspects you should further examine:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for BAER’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for BAER’s outlook.
  2. Valuation: What is BAER worth today? Even if the stock is a cash cow, it’s not worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether BAER is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Dividend Rockstars: Are there better dividend payers with stronger fundamentals out there? Check out our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.