Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In TFI International Inc.'s TSE:TFII) Stock?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 08, 2021
TSX:TFII

TFI International's (TSE:TFII) stock is up by a considerable 46% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on TFI International's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for TFI International

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for TFI International is:

15% = CA$333m ÷ CA$2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CA$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CA$0.15.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

TFI International's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

To start with, TFI International's ROE looks acceptable. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 15%. This probably goes some way in explaining TFI International's significant 24% net income growth over the past five years amongst other factors. However, there could also be other drivers behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared TFI International's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 11% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
TSX:TFII Past Earnings Growth February 8th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is TFI International fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is TFI International Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

TFI International has a three-year median payout ratio of 25% (where it is retaining 75% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and TFI International is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Besides, TFI International has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 21% of its profits over the next three years. However, TFI International's ROE is predicted to rise to 23% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that TFI International's performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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