If You Had Bought Subscribe Technologies (CNSX:SAAS) Stock Three Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 100% Gain Today

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Subscribe Technologies Inc. (CNSX:SAAS), which is up 100%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 7.1% (not including dividends).

Check out our latest analysis for Subscribe Technologies

With zero revenue generated over twelve months, we don’t think that Subscribe Technologies has proved its business plan yet. As a result, we think it’s unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. It seems likely some shareholders believe that Subscribe Technologies will significantly advance the business plan before too long.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Subscribe Technologies has already given some investors a taste of the sweet gains that high risk investing can generate, if your timing is right.

Our data indicates that Subscribe Technologies had CA$14,389 more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in March 2019. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. So the fact that the stock is up 26% per year, over 3 years shows that high risks can lead to high rewards, sometimes. It’s clear more than a few people believe in the potential. The image below shows how Subscribe Technologies’s balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

CNSX:SAAS Historical Debt, July 30th 2019
CNSX:SAAS Historical Debt, July 30th 2019

In reality it’s hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. However you can take a look at whether insiders have been buying up shares. It’s often positive if so, assuming the buying is sustained and meaningful. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren’t great for Subscribe Technologies shares, which cost holders 63%, while the market was up about 1.1%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 26% per year over three years. The recent sell-off could be an opportunity if the business remains sound, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long-term growth trend. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.