What Kind Of Share Price Volatility Should You Expect For True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:TNT.UN)?

Anyone researching True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:TNT.UN) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk’ in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

Check out our latest analysis for True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust

What we can learn from TNT.UN’s beta value

Looking at the last five years, True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust has a beta of 0.80. The fact that this is well below 1 indicates that its share price movements haven’t historically been very sensitive to overall market volatility. This suggests that including it in your portfolio will reduce volatility arising from broader market movements, assuming your portfolio’s weighted average beta is higher than 0.80. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust’s revenue and earnings in the image below.

TSX:TNT.UN Income Statement, April 2nd 2019
TSX:TNT.UN Income Statement, April 2nd 2019

How does TNT.UN’s size impact its beta?

True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of CA$410m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. Very small companies often have a low beta value because their share prices are not well correlated with market volatility. This could be because the price is reacting to company specific events. Alternatively, the shares may not be actively traded.

What this means for you:

The True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust doesn’t usually show much sensitivity to the broader market. This could be for a variety of reasons. Typically, smaller companies have a low beta if their share price tends to move a lot due to company specific developments. Alternatively, an strong dividend payer might move less than the market because investors are valuing it for its income stream. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it’s well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as True North Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for TNT.UN’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for TNT.UN’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has TNT.UN been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of TNT.UN’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how TNT.UN measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.