At CA$11.79, Is It Time To Put Summit Industrial Income REIT (TSE:SMU.UN) On Your Watch List?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
June 10, 2020
TSX:SMU.UN

Summit Industrial Income REIT (TSE:SMU.UN), which is in the reits business, and is based in Canada, led the TSX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Summit Industrial Income REIT’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Summit Industrial Income REIT

What is Summit Industrial Income REIT worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 4.9% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Summit Industrial Income REIT today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth CA$12.39, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Summit Industrial Income REIT’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Summit Industrial Income REIT look like?

TSX:SMU.UN Past and Future Earnings June 10th 2020
TSX:SMU.UN Past and Future Earnings June 10th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 19% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Summit Industrial Income REIT. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SMU.UN’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SMU.UN, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Summit Industrial Income REIT. You can find everything you need to know about Summit Industrial Income REIT in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Summit Industrial Income REIT, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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