Stock Analysis

Cresco Labs (CSE:CL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

CNSX:CL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Cresco Labs Inc. (CSE:CL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Cresco Labs

What Is Cresco Labs's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Cresco Labs had debt of US$195.4m, up from US$119.5m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$131.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$64.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CNSX:CL Debt to Equity History October 6th 2021

How Healthy Is Cresco Labs' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cresco Labs had liabilities of US$194.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$470.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$131.0m as well as receivables valued at US$45.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$488.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Cresco Labs has a market capitalization of US$3.78b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Cresco Labs's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.31 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.6 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Notably, Cresco Labs made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$170m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cresco Labs can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Cresco Labs saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Cresco Labs's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example its net debt to EBITDA was refreshing. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Cresco Labs is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Cresco Labs you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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