Why You Need To Look At This Factor Before Buying Nevado Resources Corporation (CVE:VDO)

If you are looking to invest in Nevado Resources Corporation’s (TSXV:VDO), or currently own the stock, then you need to understand its beta in order to understand how it can affect the risk of your portfolio. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of VDO. The first type is company-specific risk, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies to reduce exposure to one particular stock. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Not every stock is exposed to the same level of market risk. A popular measure of market risk for a stock is its beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

See our latest analysis for Nevado Resources

An interpretation of VDO’s beta

With a beta of 8.34, Nevado Resources is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. According to this value of beta, VDO may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

TSXV:VDO Income Statement Jan 13th 18
TSXV:VDO Income Statement Jan 13th 18

Does VDO’s size and industry impact the expected beta?

VDO, with its market capitalisation of CA$1.56M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. In addition to size, VDO also operates in the metals and mining industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. So, investors should expect a larger beta for smaller companies operating in a cyclical industry in contrast with lower beta for larger firms in a more defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of VDO’s beta value discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

Is VDO’s cost structure indicative of a high beta?

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I test VDO’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Given that fixed assets make up less than a third of the company’s total assets, VDO doesn’t rely heavily upon these expensive, inflexible assets to run its business during downturns. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. This outcome contradicts VDO’s current beta value which indicates an above-average volatility.

What this means for you:

You may reap the gains of VDO’s returns during times of economic growth by holding the stock. Its low fixed cost also implies that it has the flexibility to adjust its cost to preserve margins during times of a downturn. I recommend analysing the stock in terms of your current portfolio composition before deciding to invest more into VDO. In order to fully understand whether XYZ is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Nevado Resources’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

    1. Financial Health: Is VDO’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

    2. Past Track Record: Has VDO been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of VDO’s historicals for more clarity.

    3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.