Stock Analysis

Is Panoro Minerals (CVE:PML) Using Too Much Debt?

TSXV:PML
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Panoro Minerals Ltd. (CVE:PML) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Panoro Minerals

What Is Panoro Minerals's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Panoro Minerals had CA$13.3m of debt, an increase on CA$12.6m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:PML Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2021

A Look At Panoro Minerals' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Panoro Minerals had liabilities of CA$11.6m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$3.33m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$72.3k as well as receivables valued at CA$1.48m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$13.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Panoro Minerals is worth CA$31.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Panoro Minerals will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since Panoro Minerals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Panoro Minerals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$5.8m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$3.5m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Panoro Minerals (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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