| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
LUG Stock Overview
Lundin Gold Inc. operates as a mining company in Canada.
Lundin Gold Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | CA$8.82 |
| 52 Week High | CA$12.73 |
| 52 Week Low | CA$7.80 |
| Beta | 0.98 |
| 1 Month Change | 3.52% |
| 3 Month Change | -13.45% |
| 1 Year Change | -17.42% |
| 3 Year Change | 7.04% |
| 5 Year Change | 70.27% |
| Change since IPO | -83.99% |
Recent News & Updates
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) Shares After Tumbling 25%
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Is Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Using Too Much Debt?
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Here's Why I Think Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Shareholder Returns
| LUG | CA Metals and Mining | CA Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 3.2% | 0.4% | -0.8% |
| 1Y | -17.4% | -18.3% | -2.0% |
Return vs Industry: LUG matched the Canadian Metals and Mining industry which returned -18.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: LUG underperformed the Canadian Market which returned -1.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| LUG volatility | |
|---|---|
| LUG Average Weekly Movement | 7.4% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 11.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.8% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in CA Market | 19.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in CA Market | 4.4% |
Stable Share Price: LUG is not significantly more volatile than the rest of Canadian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.
Volatility Over Time: LUG's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | n/a | Ron Hochstein | https://www.lundingold.com |
Lundin Gold Inc. operates as a mining company in Canada. The company holds interests in 27 metallic mineral concessions and three construction material concessions covering an area of approximately 64,270 hectares located in Southeast Ecuador. It primary holds interests in the Fruta del Norte gold project comprising seven concessions covering an area of approximately 5,566 hectares located near the city of Loja in Ecuador.
Lundin Gold Fundamentals Summary
| LUG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | US$1.60b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$158.63m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$809.81m |
10.1x
P/E Ratio2.0x
P/S RatioIs LUG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| LUG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$809.81m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$288.94m |
| Gross Profit | US$520.87m |
| Other Expenses | US$362.24m |
| Earnings | US$158.63m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Aug 09, 2022
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.67 |
| Gross Margin | 64.32% |
| Net Profit Margin | 19.59% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 88.9% |
How did LUG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonValuation
Is LUG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Analyst Forecast
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUG?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is LUG's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$1.60b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 4.1x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does LUG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| LUG PE Ratio vs Peers |
|---|
| Company | PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 139.8x | ||
VGCX Victoria Gold | 6.9x | n/a | CA$654.9m |
KNT K92 Mining | 36.8x | 37.9% | CA$1.9b |
CXB Calibre Mining | 7.2x | 30.8% | CA$493.8m |
WDO Wesdome Gold Mines | 11.7x | 6.0% | CA$1.5b |
LUG Lundin Gold | 10.1x | -18.8% | CA$2.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LUG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (139.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does LUG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LUG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (9.7x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is LUG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 10.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 6.7x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LUG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of LUG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: LUG (CA$8.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$20.94)
Significantly Below Fair Value: LUG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Future Growth
How is Lundin Gold forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 6 analysts?
Future Growth Score
0/6Future Growth Score 0/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE
-18.8%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: LUG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-18.8% per year).
Earnings vs Market: LUG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-18.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: LUG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: LUG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: LUG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.4% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LUG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Past Performance
How has Lundin Gold performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score
5/6Past Performance Score 5/6
Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE
45.4%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: LUG has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: LUG's current net profit margins (19.6%) are higher than last year (10.4%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LUG has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 45.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: LUG's earnings growth over the past year (229.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (45.4% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: LUG earnings growth over the past year (229.4%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry -15.8%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: LUG's Return on Equity (18.7%) is considered low.
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Financial Health
How is Lundin Gold's financial position?
Financial Health Score
4/6Financial Health Score 4/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: LUG's short term assets ($615.7M) exceed its short term liabilities ($342.0M).
Long Term Liabilities: LUG's short term assets ($615.7M) exceed its long term liabilities ($547.1M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: LUG's net debt to equity ratio (49.1%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: LUG's debt to equity ratio has increased from 7.8% to 88.9% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: LUG's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (62.5%).
Interest Coverage: LUG's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (10x coverage).
Balance Sheet
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Dividend
What is Lundin Gold current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score
0/6Dividend Score 0/6
Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Cash Flow Coverage
4.14%
Forecast Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate LUG's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate LUG's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LUG's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if LUG's dividend payments have been increasing.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as LUG has not reported any payouts.
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Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
6.6yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Ron Hochstein (61 yo)
7.67yrs
Tenure
US$2,272,718
Compensation
Mr. Ronald F. Hochstein, also known as Ron, MBA, P.Eng., B.Sc. (Mineral Process Engineering), serves as an Independent Chairman of the Board of Directors of Denison Mines Corp. since May 2021. He has been...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Ron's total compensation ($USD2.27M) is about average for companies of similar size in the Canadian market ($USD2.22M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Ron's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: LUG's management team is seasoned and experienced (6.6 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: LUG's board of directors are considered experienced (5.4 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: LUG insiders have bought and sold the same number of shares in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
Lundin Gold Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: Lundin Gold Inc.
- Ticker: LUG
- Exchange: TSX
- Founded: 1986
- Industry: Gold
- Sector: Materials
- Implied Market Cap: CA$2.074b
- Shares outstanding: 235.17m
- Website: https://www.lundingold.com
Number of Employees
Location
- Lundin Gold Inc.
- 885 West Georgia Street
- Suite 2000
- Vancouver
- British Columbia
- V6C 3E8
- Canada
Listings
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/08/06 00:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/08/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2022/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2021/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.