Does Canfor Pulp Products Inc. (TSE:CFX) Have A Volatile Share Price?

If you’re interested in Canfor Pulp Products Inc. (TSE:CFX), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk’, beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

View our latest analysis for Canfor Pulp Products

What we can learn from CFX’s beta value

Zooming in on Canfor Pulp Products, we see it has a five year beta of 0.83. This is below 1, so historically its share price has been rather independent from the market. This suggests that including it in your portfolio will reduce volatility arising from broader market movements, assuming your portfolio’s weighted average beta is higher than 0.83. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Canfor Pulp Products is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

TSX:CFX Income Statement, March 13th 2019
TSX:CFX Income Statement, March 13th 2019

Does CFX’s size influence the expected beta?

Canfor Pulp Products is a small company, but not tiny and little known. It has a market capitalisation of CA$1.1b, which means it would be on the radar of intstitutional investors. Small companies can have a low beta value when company specific factors outweigh the influence of overall market volatility. That might be happening here.

What this means for you:

The Canfor Pulp Products doesn’t usually show much sensitivity to the broader market. This could be for a variety of reasons. Typically, smaller companies have a low beta if their share price tends to move a lot due to company specific developments. Alternatively, an strong dividend payer might move less than the market because investors are valuing it for its income stream. In order to fully understand whether CFX is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Canfor Pulp Products’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CFX’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CFX’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has CFX been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of CFX’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how CFX measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.