Did Changing Sentiment Drive United Battery Metals’s (CNSX:UBM) Share Price Down A Painful 92%?

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It’s not a secret that every investor will make bad investments, from time to time. But serious investors should think long and hard about avoiding extreme losses. So we hope that those who held United Battery Metals Corp. (CNSX:UBM) during the last year don’t lose the lesson, in addition to the 92% hit to the value of their shares. That’d be a striking reminder about the importance of diversification. Because United Battery Metals hasn’t been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. Furthermore, it’s down 36% in about a quarter. That’s not much fun for holders.

While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn’t as important as health and happiness.

Check out our latest analysis for United Battery Metals

With zero revenue generated over twelve months, we don’t think that United Battery Metals has proved its business plan yet. We can’t help wondering why it’s publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? As a result, we think it’s unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. For example, investors may be hoping that United Battery Metals finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. Some United Battery Metals investors have already had a taste of the bitterness stocks like this can leave in the mouth.

United Battery Metals had net cash of just CA$231k when it last reported (January 2019). So if it hasn’t remedied the situation already, it will almost certainly have to raise more capital soon. That probably explains why the share price is down 92% in the last year. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how United Battery Metals’s cash levels have changed over time.

CNSX:UBM Historical Debt, May 9th 2019
CNSX:UBM Historical Debt, May 9th 2019

In reality it’s hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. Would it bother you if insiders were selling the stock? I would feel more nervous about the company if that were so. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

While United Battery Metals shareholders are down 92% for the year, the market itself is up 3.1%. While the aim is to do better than that, it’s worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 36%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.