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Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:TVE) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. (TSE:TVE) as an attractive investment with its 10.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Tamarack Valley Energy has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Tamarack Valley Energy
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Tamarack Valley Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 107% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 36% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Tamarack Valley Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Tamarack Valley Energy maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Tamarack Valley Energy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tamarack Valley Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:TVE
Tamarack Valley Energy
Engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Western Canadian sedimentary basin.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.
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