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Revenues Tell The Story For Tenaz Energy Corp. (TSE:TNZ) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Tenaz Energy Corp. (TSE:TNZ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 456% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in Canada's Oil and Gas industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Tenaz Energy as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Tenaz Energy
What Does Tenaz Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?
Tenaz Energy could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tenaz Energy.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tenaz Energy would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.5%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 221% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 89% each year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 2.0% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Tenaz Energy is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Tenaz Energy's P/S Mean For Investors?
Tenaz Energy's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Tenaz Energy maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Oil and Gas industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Tenaz Energy with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tenaz Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:TNZ
Tenaz Energy
An energy company, engages in the acquisition and development of oil and gas properties in Canada and the Netherlands.
High growth potential and fair value.
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