Don't Race Out To Buy PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. (TSE:PSK) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

By
Simply Wall St
Published
June 23, 2021
TSX:PSK
Source: Shutterstock

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. (TSE:PSK) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase PrairieSky Royalty's shares before the 29th of June to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of July.

The company's next dividend payment will be CA$0.065 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CA$0.26 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, PrairieSky Royalty has a trailing yield of 1.7% on the current stock price of CA$15.21. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether PrairieSky Royalty's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for PrairieSky Royalty

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. PrairieSky Royalty distributed an unsustainably high 134% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out more than half (64%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's good to see that while PrairieSky Royalty's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSX:PSK Historic Dividend June 24th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're discomforted by PrairieSky Royalty's 15% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. PrairieSky Royalty has seen its dividend decline 20% per annum on average over the past seven years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy PrairieSky Royalty for the upcoming dividend? Earnings per share have been in decline, which is not encouraging. What's more, PrairieSky Royalty is paying out a majority of its earnings and over half its free cash flow. It's hard to say if the business has the financial resources and time to turn things around without cutting the dividend. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of PrairieSky Royalty.

So if you're still interested in PrairieSky Royalty despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for PrairieSky Royalty and you should be aware of them before buying any shares.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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