Forsys Metals Corp (TSE:FSY): Risks You Need To Consider Before Buying

If you are looking to invest in Forsys Metals Corp’s (TSE:FSY), or currently own the stock, then you need to understand its beta in order to understand how it can affect the risk of your portfolio. There are two types of risks that affect the market value of a listed company such as FSY. The first risk to consider is company-specific, which can be diversified away when you invest in other companies in the same industry as FSY, because it is rare that an entire industry collapses at once. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk. A widely-used metric to measure a stock’s market risk is beta, and the broad market index represents a beta value of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

View out our latest analysis for Forsys Metals

What does FSY’s beta value mean?

Forsys Metals’s five-year beta of 1.28 means that the company’s value will swing up by more than the market during prosperous times, but also drop down by more in times of downturns. This level of volatility indicates bigger risk for investors who passively invest in the stock market index. According to this value of beta, FSY may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

TSX:FSY Income Statement July 3rd 18
TSX:FSY Income Statement July 3rd 18

How does FSY’s size and industry impact its risk?

A market capitalisation of CA$27.47m puts FSY in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. In addition to size, FSY also operates in the oil and gas industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of FSY’s beta value discussed above. Fundamental factors can also drive the cyclicality of the stock, which we will take a look at next.

Can FSY’s asset-composition point to a higher beta?

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I examine FSY’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. With a fixed-assets-to-total-assets ratio of greater than 30%, FSY appears to be a company that invests a large amount of capital in assets that are hard to scale down on short-notice. As a result, this aspect of FSY indicates a higher beta than a similar size company with a lower portion of fixed assets on their balance sheet. This is consistent with is current beta value which also indicates high volatility.

What this means for you:

You could benefit from higher returns from FSY during times of economic growth. Its higher fixed cost isn’t a major concern given margins are covered with high consumer demand. Though, in times of a downturn, it may be safe to look at a more defensive stock which can cushion the impact of lower demand. In order to fully understand whether FSY is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Forsys Metals’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is FSY’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has FSY been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of FSY’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.