Freehold Royalties Ltd. (TSE:FRU) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.09 per share on the 15th of October. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 7.9%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Freehold Royalties' Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating free cash flows is a major warning sign for the sustainability of the dividend as these levels are certainly a bit high.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 2.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 150%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
See our latest analysis for Freehold Royalties
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was CA$1.68, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$1.08. This works out to be a decline of approximately 4.3% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Freehold Royalties has been growing its earnings per share at 30% a year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely Freehold Royalties is paying out 143% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Freehold Royalties' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In general, the distributions are a little bit higher than we would like, but we can't ignore the fact the quickly growing earnings gives this stock great potential in the future. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Freehold Royalties that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:FRU
Freehold Royalties
Acquires and manages royalty interests in the crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, and potash properties in Canada and the United States.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.
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