Let's talk about the popular Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (TSE:ATD.B). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the TSX over the last few months, increasing to CA$47.39 at one point, and dropping to the lows of CA$41.03. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Alimentation Couche-Tard's current trading price of CA$41.03 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Alimentation Couche-Tard’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What's the opportunity in Alimentation Couche-Tard?
Great news for investors – Alimentation Couche-Tard is still trading at a fairly cheap price. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is CA$66.61, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. Another thing to keep in mind is that Alimentation Couche-Tard’s share price may be quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
What kind of growth will Alimentation Couche-Tard generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -4.4% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Alimentation Couche-Tard. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Although ATD.B is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to ATD.B, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ATD.B for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Alimentation Couche-Tard you should be aware of.
If you are no longer interested in Alimentation Couche-Tard, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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