Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Grupo SBF S.A.'s (BVMF:SBFG3) Annual Report

Shareholders of Grupo SBF S.A. (BVMF:SBFG3) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 11% to R$11.80 following its latest annual results. It was an okay report, and revenues came in at R$7.2b, approximately in line with analyst estimates leading up to the results announcement. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Grupo SBF after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Grupo SBF

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Grupo SBF's five analysts is for revenues of R$7.67b in 2025. This would reflect a modest 7.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to decline 19% to R$1.78 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of R$7.69b and earnings per share (EPS) of R$1.79 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

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The analysts reconfirmed their price target of R$14.62, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Grupo SBF analyst has a price target of R$17.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at R$12.50. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Grupo SBF's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.3% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 23% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 4.3% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Grupo SBF is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Grupo SBF going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Grupo SBF , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.