Stock Analysis

Investors Can Find Comfort In Speedy AD's (BUL:SPDY) Earnings Quality

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Speedy AD's (BUL:SPDY) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

earnings-and-revenue-history
BUL:SPDY Earnings and Revenue History December 7th 2025
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A Closer Look At Speedy AD's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2025, Speedy AD had an accrual ratio of -0.25. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of лв57m, well over the лв38.3m it reported in profit. Speedy AD's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Speedy AD.

Our Take On Speedy AD's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Speedy AD produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Speedy AD's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 12% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Speedy AD you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Speedy AD's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BUL:SPDY

Speedy AD

Provides courier services in Bulgaria and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.

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