Occidental Petroleum Corporation

ENXTBR:OCPET Stock Report

Market Cap: US$55.1b

Occidental Petroleum Valuation

Is OCPET undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCPET when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCPET ($58.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($88.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCPET is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCPET?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OCPET key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.2x
PEG Ratio-2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OCPET's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OCPET vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
ENI Eni
11.6x10.2%€44.9b
SU Suncor Energy
8.6x-10.3%CA$64.9b
ONGC Oil and Natural Gas
8.4x7.2%₹3.8t
EQNR Equinor
7.3x-7.1%NOK 735.4b
OCPET Occidental Petroleum
9.5x-3.3%US$55.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OCPET is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OCPET's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.9%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.9%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OCPET is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (5.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCPET's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCPET PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OCPET's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCPET forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Sep ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Aug ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Jul ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Jun ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
May ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Apr ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Mar ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Feb ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Jan ’25n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Dec ’24n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Nov ’24n/a
US$68.92
0%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Oct ’24US$58.10
US$68.92
+18.6%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00n/a25
Sep ’24US$58.30
US$67.50
+15.8%
9.0%US$80.00US$57.00n/a24
Aug ’24US$58.30
US$66.42
+13.9%
9.3%US$81.00US$56.00n/a24
Jul ’24US$58.30
US$68.00
+16.6%
11.0%US$82.00US$54.00n/a24
Jun ’24n/a
US$68.96
0%
12.7%US$87.00US$54.00n/a24
May ’24n/a
US$70.88
0%
14.1%US$93.00US$53.00n/a26
Apr ’24n/a
US$70.81
0%
13.7%US$93.00US$53.00n/a26
Mar ’24n/a
US$73.08
0%
12.6%US$93.00US$57.00n/a26
Feb ’24n/a
US$74.77
0%
13.5%US$100.00US$57.00n/a26
Jan ’24n/a
US$75.88
0%
13.3%US$100.00US$57.00n/a26
Dec ’23n/a
US$76.62
0%
13.9%US$100.00US$57.00n/a26
Nov ’23n/a
US$74.24
0%
19.5%US$110.00US$44.00n/a26
Oct ’23n/a
US$74.53
0%
18.7%US$110.00US$44.00US$58.1025
Sep ’23n/a
US$74.35
0%
19.2%US$110.00US$44.00US$58.3026

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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