ASX:RBL

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Redbubble Limited operates as an online marketplace that facilitates the sale and purchase of art and designs on a range of products between independent creatives and consumers. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Excellent balance sheet with high growth potential.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Redbubble's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: RBL is not significantly more volatile than the rest of Australian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 13% a week.

Volatility Over Time: RBL's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-4.0%

RBL

-2.8%

AU Online Retail

1.1%

AU Market


1 Year Return

163.5%

RBL

5.5%

AU Online Retail

-1.8%

AU Market

Return vs Industry: RBL exceeded the Australian Online Retail industry which returned 5.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: RBL exceeded the Australian Market which returned -1.8% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

RBLIndustryMarket
7 Day-4.0%-2.8%1.1%
30 Day5.1%1.2%8.7%
90 Day28.9%12.2%9.0%
1 Year163.5%163.5%7.7%5.5%1.5%-1.8%
3 Year340.9%337.6%46.0%37.8%22.0%7.1%
5 Yearn/a229.3%219.7%54.6%23.9%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Redbubble's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Redbubble undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

19.1%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: RBL (A$4.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$5.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RBL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: RBL is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the XX Online Retail industry average.

PE vs Market: RBL is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Australian market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RBL's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: RBL is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (18.4x) compared to the AU Online Retail industry average (17.2x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Redbubble forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?

53.6%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RBL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: RBL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: RBL's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RBL's revenue (14.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RBL's revenue (14.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RBL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.9%)


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Redbubble performed over the past 5 years?

-11.7%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: RBL is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: RBL is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: RBL is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 11.7% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare RBL's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: RBL is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Online Retail industry (19.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: RBL has a negative Return on Equity (-13%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Redbubble's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: RBL's short term assets (A$76.8M) do not cover its short term liabilities (A$86.0M).

Long Term Liabilities: RBL's short term assets (A$76.8M) exceed its long term liabilities (A$6.1M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: RBL is debt free.

Reducing Debt: RBL currently has no debt however we can't compare to 5 years ago as we have no data for that period.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable RBL has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.

Forecast Cash Runway: RBL is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 49% per year.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Redbubble current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

0.42%

Forecast Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate RBL's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate RBL's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if RBL's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if RBL's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of RBL's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the Australian market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.3yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Martin Hosking

0.75

Tenure

AU$397,627

Compensation

Mr. Martin Hosking is a Co-Founder of Redbubble Limited. He served as Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director at Redbubble Limited from July 2010 to August 1, 2018 and serves as its Managing Director...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Martin's total compensation ($USD293.95K) is below average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD916.66K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Martin's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Martin Hosking
Co-Founder0.75yrAU$397.63k16.63%
A$ 212.3m
Emma Clark
Chief Financial Officer1.42yrsAU$1.23mno data
Daniel Vydra
Chief Technology Officerno datano datano data
Louise Lambeth
Head of Investor Relationsno datano datano data
Corina Davis
Executive VP of Business Developmentno datano datano data
Rebecca Zarate
Chief Marketing Officerno datano datano data
Vanessa Freeman
Chief People & Culture Officer5.25yrsno datano data
Arnaud Deshais
Chief Supply Chain Officerno datano datano data
Eric Morse
Senior VP of Content Partnerships & GM of Global Licensing3.08yrsno datano data
Brett Watson
Chief Commercial Officer1.25yrsno datano data
Paul Gordon
Company Secretary0.75yrno datano data
Adam Schwartz
Chief Executive Officer of TeePublicno datano datano data

1.3yrs

Average Tenure

Experienced Management: RBL's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Martin Hosking
Co-Founder0.75yrAU$397.63k16.63%
A$ 212.3m
Gregory Lockwood
Independent Non-Executive Director5.42yrsno datano data
Benjamin Heap
Independent Non-Executive Director0.58yrAU$19.64k0.019%
A$ 238.5k
Jennifer Mitchell MacDonald
Independent Non-Executive Director2.75yrsAU$104.82k0.036%
A$ 455.7k
Anne Ward
Independent Chairman0.67yrAU$128.86k0.075%
A$ 954.0k

2.3yrs

Average Tenure

Experienced Board: RBL's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: RBL insiders have sold more shares than they have bought in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 4%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Redbubble Limited's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Redbubble Limited
  • Ticker: RBL
  • Exchange: ASX
  • Founded: 2006
  • Industry: Internet and Direct Marketing Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: AU$1.277b
  • Shares outstanding: 267.62m
  • Website: https://www.redbubble.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Redbubble Limited
  • 271 Collins Street
  • Level 3
  • Melbourne
  • Victoria
  • 3000
  • Australia

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
RBLASX (Australian Securities Exchange)YesOrdinary SharesAUAUDMay 2016
RBLCHIA (Chi-X Australia)YesOrdinary SharesAUAUDMay 2016
RDBB.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesOrdinary SharesUSUSDMay 2016
RDBB.YOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)SPONSORED ADSUSUSDNov 2019

Biography

Redbubble Limited operates as an online marketplace that facilitates the sale and purchase of art and designs on a range of products between independent creatives and consumers. The company provides sale, ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/11/28 07:04
End of Day Share Price2020/11/27 00:00
Earnings2020/06/30
Annual Earnings2020/06/30


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.